With literally thousands of news articles produced about the death of Benazeer Bhutto, there is not much left to say about it. The media has begun to inflate her importance, but the real story will now become the aftermath.
Bhutto was a hope for democratic reforms in a country essential polarized into three factions: the military, democratic reformers, and Islamists. She is now a martyr on the side of liberty, but she was no white knight. Her past acts while in office included the creation of the Taliban (although being dragged to it by her intelligence service) and a flare for graft. She is due some credit, but the over hyping of her importance is predictable as it is whenever a public figure is savagely cut down in front of our eyes.
Let’s not forget, al Qaeda would not have flourished without the succor of the Taliban.
It is a bit poetic (maybe a Greek tragedy) that the monster she helped to unleash has come back to take her life.
But what happens now? Let me offer a prediction. There is absolutely no reason not to think this was an al Qaeda operation. I have argued for several months now, al Qaeda is making its’ last stand in Pakistan. Al Qaeda’s objective is to destabilize Musharraf and take over the country via Taliban proxies, which it now rules via a hostile takeover of sorts. Al Qaeda core leadership believes it has to take Pakistan because it has lost Iraq and Afghanistan.
Soon, within a few days or weeks, Usama bin laden or Zawahiri will pop up in another tape claiming credit for the assassination and urging Pakistani Islamic militants to overthrow Musharraf. Their calls will go unheeded. It will be a staggering miscalculation on their part.
Even now the Pakistan military is defeating al Qaeda and allied Taliban forces while the Islamic militant political entity known as the MMA stands mute. Their acquiescence implies cooperation.
Once the core al Qaeda leadership makes the profound mistake of claiming this kill, thinking it will rouse the Islamists, they will create an alliance that had begun to burgeon before Musharraf’s emergency declaration ripped it asunder.
Bhutto’s followers who immediately claimed the assassination was Musharraf’s doing will have to take a moment and reflect on the truth; Musharraf is not the near term enemy. Al Qaeda is that enemy.
Once they realize they have no choice, they will complete the democratic forces alliance with the Musharraf power base. At that point, the three major political factions (including the MMA) will be allied against al Qaeda and the Taliban tribes that still support them.
Al Qaeda will find this kill will be very costly. Even people in Pakistan who opposed her will feel some compassion for a pretty, intelligent, articulate “celebrity” cut down in this manner. This assassination will be the death of al Qaeda, perhaps the fitting finale of this Greek tragedy.